India has undergone a paradigm shift owing to its competitive stand in the world. The Indian economy is on a robust growth trajectory and boasts of a stable annual growth rate, rising foreign exchange reserves and booming capital markets among others.
Quarterly GDP at factor cost at constant (2004-05) prices for Q3 of 2009-10 is estimated at US$ 256.91 billion, as against US$ 242.42 billion in Q3 of 2008-09.
The economic activities which registered significant growth in Q3 of 2009-10 over Q3 of 2008-09 are, ‘mining & quarrying’ at 9.6 per cent, ‘manufacturing’ at 14.3 per cent, ‘construction’ at 8.7 percent, ‘trade, hotels, transport and communication’ at 10.0 per cent, and ‘financing,insurance, real estate and business services’ at 7.8 per cent. The growth rate in ‘agriculture,forestry & fishing’ and ‘community, social and personal services’ is estimated at (-) 2.8 per cent and (-) 2.2 per cent, respectively in this period.
According to the latest estimates available on the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), the index of mining, manufacturing and electricity, registered growth rates of 9.6 per cent, 14.3 per cent and 4.0 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2009-10, as compared to the growth rates of 2.0 per cent, 0.5 per cent and 2.9 per cent in these sectors in Q3 of 2008-09. In the mining sector, production of coal and crude oil registered growth rates of 4.0 per cent and (-)0.9 per cent in Q3 of 2009-10, as against the growth rates of 10.5 per cent and zero per cent in Q3 of 2008-09. The key indicators of construction sector, namely, cement and finished steel registered growth rates of 8.5 per cent and 7.7 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2009-10, as against the growth rates of 8.8 per cent and (-)6.0 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2008-09.
Among the services sectors, the key indicators of railways, namely, the net tonne kilometers and passenger kilometers have shown growth rates of 12.5 per cent and 6.7 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2009-10, as against the growth rates of 0.5 per cent and 10.1 per cent, in the corresponding period of previous year. In the transport and communication sectors, the production of commercial vehicles, cargo handled at major ports, cargo handled by the civil aviation, passengers handled by the civil aviation and the total stock of telephone connections (including WLL and cellular) registered growth rates of 195 per cent, 10.6 per cent, 19.6 per cent, 22.2 per cent and 46.1 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2009-10 over Q3 of 2008-09. The key indicators of banking, namely,aggregate bank deposits and bank credits have shown growth rates of 18 per cent and 12.2 per cent,respectively during April-December, 2009-10 over the corresponding period in 2008-09.
GDP at factor cost at current prices in Q3 of 2009-10, is estimated at US$ 344.68 billion, as
against US$ 307.91 billion in Q3, 2008-09.
The wholesale price index (WPI), in respect of the groups, food articles, non-food articles, fish, minerals, manufactured products, electricity and all commodities, has risen by 16.9 per cent, 4.1 per cent, 30.7 per cent, (-) 2.3 per cent, 3.7 per cent, 2.0 per cent, and 4.7 per cent, respectively during Q3 of 2009-10, over Q3 of 2008-09. The consumer price index for industrial workers (CPIIW) has shown a rise of 13.3 per cent during Q3 of 2009-10 over Q3 of 2008-09.
The net national income (NNI) at factor cost, also known as national income, at 2004-05 prices is likely to be US$ 204.94 billion during 2009-10, as against the previous year's Quick Estimate of US$ 814.34 billion. In terms of growth rates, the national income is expected to rise by 6.9 % during 2009-10 in comparison to the growth rate of 6.4 % in 2008-09.
The NNI at factor cost at current prices is anticipated to be US$ 1,135.05 billion during 2009-10, as compared to US$ 1,027.05 billion during 2008-09, showing a rise of 10.5 %.
The per capita income in real terms (at 2004-05 prices) during 2009-10 is likely to attain a level of US$ 743.47 as compared to the Quick Estimate for the year 2008-09 of US$ 705.09. The growth rate in per capita income is estimated at 5.4 % during 2009-10, as against the previous year's estimate of 5.0 %.
The per capita income at current prices during 2009-10 is estimated to be US$ 969.31 as compared to US$ 889.37 during 2008-09, showing a rise of 9.0 %.
Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) at current prices is estimated at US$ 216.78 billion in Q3 of 2009-10 as against US$ 195.06 billion in Q3 of 2008-09. At constant (2004-05) prices, the PFCE is estimated at US$ 163.35 billion in Q3 of 2009-10 as against US$ 157.85 billion in Q3 of 2008-09. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of PFCE at current and constant (2004-05) prices during Q3 of 2009-10 are estimated at 59.8 per cent and 60.0 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 60.3 per cent and 61.5 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2008-09.
Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE) at current prices is estimated at US$ 45.18 billion in Q3 of 2009-10 as against US$ 45.46 billion in Q3 of 2008-09. At constant (2004-05) prices, the GFCE is estimated at US$ 31.50 billion in Q3 of 2009-10 as against US$ 35.10 billion in Q3 of 2008-09. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of GFCE at current and constant (2004-05) prices during Q3 of 2009-10 are estimated at 12.5 per cent and 11.6 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 14.1 per cent and 13.7 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2008-09.
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) at current prices is estimated at US$ 114.84 billion in Q3 of 2009-10 as against US$ 102.27 billion in Q3 of 2008-09. At constant (2004-05) prices, the GFCF is estimated at US$ 88.78 billion in Q3 of 2009-10 as against US$ 81.5 billion in Q3 of 2008-09. In terms of GDP at market prices, the rates of GFCF at current and constant (2004-05) prices during Q3 of 2009-10 are estimated at 31.7 per cent and 32.6 per cent, respectively, as against the corresponding rates of 31.6 per cent and 31.7 per cent, respectively in Q3 of 2008-09.
There is ample reason for India's viability as a destination for foreign investment. In addition to the above-mentioned macroeconomic indicators, higher disposable incomes, emerging middle class, low cost competitive workforce, investment friendly policies and progressive reform process all contribute towards India being an appropriate choice for investors.
The Indian Government is committed in its efforts to maintain a healthy growth rate and provide a conducive policy environment to the enterprises, both public and private, to invest and grow their business in the country. To this end, the Government has liberalized the foreign investment regime substantially over the last decade. Today, foreign direct investment is allowed in almost all sectors barring a few sensitive areas such as defence. Further, FDI is allowed in most of the sectors under the automatic route, except a few, where approval from the Foreign Investment Promotion Board is required.
India's foreign trade policy has been formulated with a view to invite and encourage FDI in India. The process of regulation and approval has been substantially liberalized. The Reserve Bank of India has prescribed the administrative and compliance aspects of FDI.
The FDI policy rationalization and liberalization measures taken by the Government have resulted in increased inflows of FDI over the years. During 2009-10 (from April 2009- February 2010),foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to India were valued at US$ 24.68 billion.
FDI can be divided into two broad categories: investment under automatic route and investment through prior approval of Government. The pick up in FDI inflows further reflects growing investor interest in the Indian economy on the back of strong fundamentals and simplified procedures.
The sectors attracting the highest FDI equity inflows during April-February 2010 have been the Services Sector, Computer Software & Hardware,Telecommunications,Housing & Real Estate, Construction Activities,Power,Automobile Industry, Metallurgical Industries, Petroleum & Natural Gas and Chemicals.
The top investing countries in terms of FDI equity inflows during April-February 2010 have been Mauritius, Singapore, U.S.A.,U.K.,Netherlands,Cyprus,Japan,Germany,U.A.E and France.
In addition to FDI, Foreign Institutional Investment (FII) is also flowing into India. Qualified foreign entities (other than those predominantly owned by non resident Indians) seeking to undertake portfolio investments in India are regarded as Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs). Eligible institutional investors that can register as FIIs include asset management companies, pension funds, mutual funds, banks, investment trusts, nominee companies, incorporated/ institutional portfolio managers, power of attorney holders, university funds, endowment foundations, charitable trusts and charitable societies.
India Overview
Location: The Indian peninsula is separated from mainland Asia by the Himalayas. The Bay of Bengal in the east, the Arabian Sea in the west, and the Indian Ocean to the south surround the Country.
Area: 3.3 Million sq km
Geographic Coordinates: Lying entirely in the Northern Hemisphere, the mainland extends between latitudes 8°4' and 37°6' north, longitudes 68°7' and 97°25' east.
Capital: New Delhi
Border Countries: Afghanistan and Pakistan to the north-west; China, Bhutan and Nepal to the north; Myanmar to the east; and Bangladesh to the east of West Bengal. Sri Lanka is separated from India by a narrow channel of sea, formed by Palk Strait and the Gulf of Mannar.
Coastline: 7,516.6 km encompassing the mainland, Lakshadweep Islands, and the Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
Climate: The climate of India can broadly be classified as a tropical monsoon one. But, in spite of much of the northern part of India lying beyond the tropical zone, the entire country has a tropical climate marked by relatively high temperatures and dry winters. There are four seasons - winter (December-February), (ii) summer (March-June), (iii) south-west monsoon season (June-September), and (iv) post monsoon season (October- November)
Natural Resources: Coal, iron ore, manganese ore, mica, bauxite, petroleum, titanium ore, chromite, natural gas, magnesite, limestone, dolomite, barytes, kaolin, gypsum, apatite, phosphorite, steatite, fluorite, etc.
Government Type: Sovereign Socialist Democratic Republic with a Parliamentary system of Government.
Administrative Divisions: 29 States and 6 Union Territories.
Constitution: The Constitution of India came into force on 26th January 1950.
Advantage India
World's largest democracy
Stable political environment and responsive administrative set up
Land of abundant natural resources and diverse climatic conditions
Second most attractive FDI location in the world
Healthy macro-economic fundamentals
Cost competitiveness; low labour costs
Large pool of skilled manpower reforms; strong knowledge base with significant English speaking population
Young country with a median age of 30 years by 2025
Huge untapped market potential
Investor friendly policies and incentive based schemes
Progressive simplification and rationalization of direct and indirect tax structures
Reduction in import tariffs
Full current account convertibility
Compliance with WTO norms
Well established judiciary
Robust banks and financial institutions.
Sectoral Overview
Agriculture
Growth of the Indian economy is to a large extent influenced by the performance of the agriculture sector. It accounts for 52 % of the employment in the country. Apart from being the provider of food and fodder, its importance also stems from the raw materials that it provides to industry. The prosperity of the rural economy is also closely linked to agriculture and allied activities.The rural sector (including agriculture) is being increasingly seen as a potential source of domestic demand; a recognition, that is shaping the marketing strategies of entrepreneurs wishing to widen the demand for goods and services.
Industry
The industrial sector has shown clear signs of revival in recent months. The index of industrial production (IIP) increased at a rate of 11.7 % during November 2009 as compared to 2.5 % in the corresponding period of the previous year. The cumulative growth rate of the IIP during the period April to November 2009 has also been impressive at 7.6 %. In terms of industries, as many as 14 out of the 17 industry groups have shown positive growth during November 2009 as compared to the corresponding month of the previous year.
Production of basic goods grew by 6 % while capital goods recorded a growth rate of 12.2 % and intermediate goods grew by 19.4 % in November 2009 over November 2008.Consumer durables and consumer non-durables recorded growth of 37.3% and 3.1% respectively, with the overall growth in consumer goods being 11.1%.
Services
Structure of the Indian economy has undergone considerable change in the last decade. The services sector has become a major part of the economy with GDP share of over 50% and the country becoming an important hub for exporting IT services.
India featured among the top 10 exporters of commercial services in the world in 2008.Finance, insurance, real estate and business services grew by 7.7 % in Q2 of 2009-10 as compared to 6.4 % in Q2 of 2008-09.
Indian States and Union Territories
The country houses 29 states and 6 union territories. Each of the Indian state and union territory of India is blessed with several investment opportunities depending on their geographical location and availability of natural resources. These opportunities are further enhanced by the rapid technological advancements taking place in almost all states that enhance the ability to innovate and grow. There exists plethora of diversified investment opportunities across India and the respective state Governments are taking progressive steps such as development of powerful infrastructure and formulating conducive and stable policies to harness the same. The state Governments have devised investor friendly policies in terms of incentives and concessions offered for several sectors such as biotechnology, infrastructure and information technology among others to promote FDI into their respective states. A healthy competition has emerged among states to attract investment in their states and this has proved to be beneficial for the potential investor. A small brief of the investment opportunities available in some of the Indian states is given here:
Andaman and Nicobar: Tourism, I.T., Handicrafts, High value added Agro Products, Fisheries, Coir, Hydro Carbon Energy, Shipping Sectors including Transshipment ports and Service Industry.
Andhra Pradesh: Biotechnology, tourism, food and agro based industries, and information technology.
Arunachal Pradesh: art and craft industries, tourism and educational services
Assam: IT Sector, Tourism, Agro- Horti & Food Processing Sector, Bamboo Industries and Bio Technology Sector
Bihar:Agro based industries, sericulture, chemical industry, tourism, biotechnology, pharmaceutical, etc.
Chhattisgarh: Processing of medicinal, aromatic and dye plants, Automobile, auto components, spares and cycle industries, Manufacturing of plant, machinery & engineering spares, pharmaceuticals, etc.
Delhi: computer software, IT enabled services, electronics and high tech industries and small-scale industry.
Goa: Pharmaceuticals, Drugs and Biotech Industries, Food processing and Agro based Industries, IT and IT-enabled services, Eco tourism/Heritage tourism/Adventure tourism/Event tourism/Medical, Tourism and Entertainment Industry.
Gujarat: Agro Based and Food Processing Industry, Chemical and Allied Industry, Information Technology, Mineral Based and Allied Industries, Plastic and Allied Industries, Port Related activities and infrastructure and Textile Industry.
Haryana: Agro based and Food Processing Industry., Electronics and Information & Communication Technology, Automobiles & Automotive Components., Handloom, Hosiery, Textile and Garments Manufacturing., Export- Oriented Units, Footwear, leather garments and accessories.
Himachal Pradesh: units based directly on horticulture produce, mineral water bottling, automobile manufacturing units, cold storage units, electronic units, floriculture, handicrafts, precision industries, etc.
Jammu and Kashmir: food processing, agro based industries, floriculture, information technology, sports goods industry, etc.
Jharkhand: mining and mineral based industry, agro based industries, sericulture, engineering, auto components, tourism, ceramics, sports goods, etc.
Karnataka: informatics, computer software, IT enabled services, telecom, auto and auto components, food processing, floriculture, biotechnology, tourism, infrastructure projects, etc.
Kerala: Mineral and Clay based products, Agriculture and Horticulture Produce, Traditional Industries, Tourism, Auto Components, Marine Products and Agro Processing industries.
Madhya Pradesh: agro- processing industries, cement, textiles and apparels, tourism, power, education, information technology, etc.
Maharashtra: auto industry, biotechnology, floriculture, food processing, textiles and leather.
Manipur: agro based industries, handicraft industries, sericulture, tourism, telecommunications, petrochemicals and pharmaceuticals.
Meghalaya: Minerals based industries, Horticulture and agro based industry, Power Generation, Export Promotion Industrial Park (EPIP), Tourism, Biotechnology- based units, Electronics and information technology and Tissue culture and orchid units.
Mizoram: bamboo and timber based industries, food processing, agro-horticulture sector, mines and minerals, handloom, handicrafts, tourism, etc.
Nagaland: food-processing industry, agro based industry, tourism, mineral based industry, pharmaceuticals, etc.
Orissa: mineral and mineral based industries, agro and food processing industries, Information technology, tourism, biotech, pharma, handicrafts, handlooms, chemicals and fertilizers, etc.
Pondicherry: information technology and software development, electronics, agro processing, textiles, leather products, light engineering and tourism.
Punjab: agriculture, dairy and poultry products, meat processing, leather industry, sports goods, textiles, light engineering goods, etc.
Rajasthan: IT and ITeS, biotechnology, agro based industries, power sector, education, urban infrastructure, tourism, gems and Jewellery, etc.
Sikkim: eco-tourism, handicrafts and handlooms, floriculture, biotechnology, etc.
Tamil Nadu: engineering, automobiles and components, software and ITeS, biotechnology, health care, pharma, tourism, textiles, etc.
Tripura: natural gas, food processing, rubber, tea, handicraft, bamboo, handloom, tourism, information technology, etc.
Uttar Pradesh: power, food processing, agro based industries, animal husbandry, engineering, horticulture, etc.
Uttaranchal: hydropower, floriculture, horticulture, agro based and food processing industries, information and communication technology, etc.
West Bengal: agri business, tourism, information technology, metals, petrochemicals, leather, food processing, etc.
Sectoral Opportunities
The Indian growth story seems to be on a roll and India has emerged as the fourth largest economy in the world on a purchasing power parity basis.The quality of business environment in India has improved manifolds in the recent years . The strong fundamentals underlying the Indian economy make it an obvious choice for investors all over the world.
The government of India has put in place a liberal and transparent FDI policy. In the post liberalization era, a number of initiatives have been taken to attract FDI in several sectors. This includes opening of many new sectors to FDI, raising FDI equity caps in sectors already opened and procedural simplification. Today, the FDI policy in India is widely reckoned to be among the most liberal in the emerging economies and FDI up to 100% is allowed under the automatic route in most sectors and activities.
Vast investment potential exists in sectors such as biotechnology, retail, real estate, roads and highways, power, telecommunications, civil aviation, special economic zones, healthcare among others.
These investments are encouraged by the facts that India has a large pool of skilled and competitive manpower, huge research and development base, Government support and conducive policies, growth in the Indian domestic market owing to higher disposable incomes, abundant natural resources required to set up industries, etc.
Success Stories
Overseas investors are looking at India as an attractive investment destination owing to the prospects of high returns. A number of Corporates and Multi National Companies from all over the world have established business in India and have expanded over the years.
India has witnessed a number of success stories - both Indian and multinational firms have registered higher profits, increased turnover and higher sales over the years. This has induced them to reinvest profits and inject fresh capital into their processes in order to reap the benefits of the India growth story.
Investments have been made by corporates across the board and almost all the sectors have seen inflow of funds. Global players such as Daimler Chrysler, General Motors, Ford, LG Electronics, Samsung, Sony, Amway, Tupperware, Pepsico, McDonald's, IBM, Oracle, Microsoft, Aviva, Nortel, Nokia among others have benefited from their operations in India and have made expansion plans for the country. The companies plan to expand by way of product diversification, setting up manufacturing base in India, increasing the existing production capacity, establishing research centres in India, etc.
The reform process initiated during the late eighties and early nineties have begun to show their impact and India is taking huge strides in the course of growth and development. However, recognizing that there is no room for complacency, Indian policy makers are moving ahead with due caution and at the same time integrating India with the global economy.
